Quantitative Analysis of Farmers’ Perception and Response to Environmental Changes

Document Type : applied research

Author

Adjunct Lecturer, Department of Geography Education, Farhangian University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

The strong dependence of the agricultural sector on environmental conditions has made it one of the most vulnerable domains to climate change and drought phenomena. The present study aims to examine farmers’ perceptions of environmental changes and to identify their adaptation strategies in Najafabad County using a quantitative approach. This research was conducted through a descriptive–analytical method. Data were collected via field surveys using a researcher-designed questionnaire. The sample size was determined as 209 farmers based on the Krejcie and Morgan table, and simple random sampling was employed. The reliability of the questionnaire was confirmed by Cronbach’s alpha coefficient (greater than 0.7). Data analysis was performed using descriptive and inferential statistics. The results revealed that more than 90% of farmers perceived an increase in temperature and drought intensity, while 92% reported a noticeable decrease in precipitation. Environmental changes had a significant effect on cultivated area, crop yield and growth period, water resources, and farmers’ income. Among the adaptation strategies, the most frequent were the adoption of modern irrigation systems (70%), crop diversification (58%), and the use of drought-resistant seeds (47%); however, 64% of farmers had not taken any effective adaptive measures. The Duncan test indicated significant differences among rural districts in economic, technological, institutional, and socio-cultural dimensions; the Eshan and Sadeghieh districts showed the highest, and the Jowzdan district the lowest, average adaptation levels. By integrating perceptual components, determinant factors, and behavioral adaptation patterns within rural contexts, the study provides a comprehensive understanding of policy gaps and local capacities, offering a framework for designing targeted interventions from the village to the county level.

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Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 21 March 2026
  • Receive Date: 10 August 2025
  • Revise Date: 07 October 2025
  • Accept Date: 08 October 2025